Key Insight
Customer concentration gets all the attention. Vendor concentration kills businesses quietly — you're operationally dependent on someone who has no incentive to stay loyal to a new owner.
The Vendor Concentration Risk
A business that sources 70% of its product from one supplier, or uses an exclusive distributor for a key product line, faces material risk if:
- The supplier changes pricing post-acquisition (no more relationship-based pricing)
- The supplier has an existing relationship with the seller personally and doesn't extend the same terms to the buyer
- The supplier is also a competitor or contemplating vertical integration
- The supplier's business faces its own disruption
Types of Vendor Risk
Single-source inputs: A business that has only one available supplier for a critical component — because alternatives don't exist, or because switching costs are prohibitive.
Exclusive distribution agreements: A dealer or reseller with exclusivity for a brand or product line. Exclusivity agreements often have renewal terms and may not transfer automatically.
Preferred pricing arrangements: Volume pricing or preferential rates based on a long-standing relationship. New ownership may restart the relationship at standard rates.
Technology platforms: When the business runs on a SaaS platform, licensed software, or a proprietary system they don't own, the vendor is effectively a critical supplier.
Due Diligence Questions
- What percentage of COGS comes from the top 3 suppliers?
- Are any inputs single-source?
- Are supplier relationships contractual or relationship-based?
- Do any supplier agreements have change-of-control provisions that allow the supplier to renegotiate?
- Has the buyer spoken directly with key suppliers about the transition?
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