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RESTORATION · Q1 2026 · 2.5×–4.5× SDE band held quarter-over-quarter (n=64, BizBuySell trailing-12-month closed deals)RESTORATION · Revenue recognized before insurance settlement in 61% of deals · Cash SDE 20–35% lower than accrualRESTORATION · TPA programs registered in owner personal name in 43% of deals · Non-transferable, 60–180 day re-approvalRESTORATION · Supplement revenue at peak-negotiation levels in 34% of deals · 8–18% normalization on 3-yr avgRESTORATION · IICRC certification gaps (WRT/ASD/AMRT/FSRT) in 41% of deals · TPA approved-vendor riskRESTORATION · Industry size $210B (IBISWorld 2024) · 6.4% CAGR 2020–2025 · Climate-loss tailwind durableRESTORATION · BELFOR (largest non-franchise) + BluSky (Olympus) + ATI Restoration + Servpro 2,200+ franchises leadRESTORATION · Alacrity + Contractor Connection (Crawford) + Code Blue dominant TPA networksRESTORATION · Xactimate (Verisk) is dominant carrier-accepted pricing standardRESTORATION · State Farm / Allstate / Farmers / USAA preferred-vendor panels tightening over trailing 24 monthsJAPAN · 損害保険 direct settlement · No TPA-mediated recurring channel · 2.0×–3.5× EBITDA typicalMETHODOLOGY · Acquidex v1.0 · Sample window 2025-05 → 2026-04 · Trailing 12 months · n=64 SMB transactionsRESTORATION · Q1 2026 · 2.5×–4.5× SDE band held quarter-over-quarter (n=64, BizBuySell trailing-12-month closed deals)RESTORATION · Revenue recognized before insurance settlement in 61% of deals · Cash SDE 20–35% lower than accrualRESTORATION · TPA programs registered in owner personal name in 43% of deals · Non-transferable, 60–180 day re-approvalRESTORATION · Supplement revenue at peak-negotiation levels in 34% of deals · 8–18% normalization on 3-yr avgRESTORATION · IICRC certification gaps (WRT/ASD/AMRT/FSRT) in 41% of deals · TPA approved-vendor riskRESTORATION · Industry size $210B (IBISWorld 2024) · 6.4% CAGR 2020–2025 · Climate-loss tailwind durableRESTORATION · BELFOR (largest non-franchise) + BluSky (Olympus) + ATI Restoration + Servpro 2,200+ franchises leadRESTORATION · Alacrity + Contractor Connection (Crawford) + Code Blue dominant TPA networksRESTORATION · Xactimate (Verisk) is dominant carrier-accepted pricing standardRESTORATION · State Farm / Allstate / Farmers / USAA preferred-vendor panels tightening over trailing 24 monthsJAPAN · 損害保険 direct settlement · No TPA-mediated recurring channel · 2.0×–3.5× EBITDA typicalMETHODOLOGY · Acquidex v1.0 · Sample window 2025-05 → 2026-04 · Trailing 12 months · n=64 SMB transactions
Scored Listings · Index·Restoration·Q1 2026·Updated 2026-05-02

Scored restoration listings.

Anonymized observations from real restoration business acquisitions evaluated against the four-pillar framework. Each entry reports what was observed and what happened. Neutral evaluation; no recommendations.

See where any listing sits against the framework. Same neutral evaluation each party at the table reads.

3 scored listings

Q1 2026

  1. 01 · Upper band

    Franchise restoration business, TPA held by entity, IICRC-certified staff, AR under 55 days

    Observed: TPA program (Alacrity and Contractor Connection) registered to the operating entity, not the owner personally. Three IICRC-certified technicians on staff. AR cycle 52 days average. Supplement settlement rate 83% of requested. Franchise agreement fully assignable with no re-qualification requirement.

    Outcome: Signed at 4.0× SDE. Lender DSCR 1.28× on cash-basis SDE. Franchisor approved transfer. Closed without repricing.

    Composite
  2. 02 · Mid-band

    Independent restoration business, TPA partially owner-registered, AR cycle 74 days

    Observed: One TPA program registered to entity; one program registered to owner personally. AR cycle 74 days average. Supplement settlement rate 71%. Revenue recognized at job completion, not cash receipt. Franchise royalties excluded from initial broker SDE presentation.

    Outcome: Initial ask 4.2× broker SDE. After franchise royalty correction, accrual-cash adjustment, and TPA partial-loss discount, adjusted SDE declined 31%. Repriced to 3.1× adjusted SDE. State Farm TPA re-qualification risk priced into seller note structure. Closed at 3.1× with $80,000 seller note contingent on TPA re-qualification.

    Composite
  3. 03 · Lower band

    Independent restoration contractor, TPA non-transferable, AR timing gap kills DSCR

    Observed: TPA relationships registered entirely to owner personally with no entity registration path. AR cycle 91 days average with $210,000 in disputed claims. Revenue recognized on job completion — cash-basis SDE materially below accrual. Supplement revenue included at target, not settled amounts.

    Outcome: Buyer submitted LOI at 3.6× accrual SDE. After cash-basis adjustment, disputed AR exclusion, and supplement settlement restatement, adjusted SDE declined 52%. DSCR on adjusted SDE was 0.87×. Financing declined. Deal terminated.

    Composite

Listings above are anonymized composites pending the publication of consented case studies. Each scored listing has its own URL — citable, shareable, long-tail-SEO eligible. Composites preserve the structural pattern without identifying the specific deal, seller, or broker.

How to read these

What each scored listing reports.

  • Band placement

    Where in the multiples band the deal sat — upper, mid, or lower third. Tied to the structural conditions in the Atlas.

  • Observed

    The specific structural conditions documented in diligence — the four pillars applied to the specific deal.

  • Outcome

    What happened — closed, repriced, financing fell through, walked. We report. We do not claim the score "told you to" do anything.

Methodology · Acquidex v1.0, §3.4 (Earnings Quality), §3.3 (Transferability), §5.1 (Add-Back Stripping per SBA SOP 50 10 8). Methodology paper forthcoming Q3 2026.

Sources · BizBuySell closed-deal data, IBBA Market Pulse Q3–4 2025 and Q1 2026, Pratt's Stats SMB transaction database, Acquidex direct deal observations.

Refresh · Quarterly. Last update: 2026-05-02.

Author · Avery Hastings, CPA. Tokyo-based; SMB and lower-middle-market acquisitions in the US and Japan.

Scored Restoration Listings: Anonymized Deal Observations Against the Four-Pillar Framework | Acquidex