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UPPER BANDTree care business, 3 ISA-certified arborists on staff, commercial contract book, fleet under 5 years · Signed at 205/02
MID-BANDTree care business, owner is sole ISA arborist, partial storm-year in trailing period, fleet at mid-life · Initial ask 205/02
LOWER BANDTree care contractor, EMR above 1.0, aged fleet at book value, storm revenue as primary revenue driver · Buyer submitted LOI at 205/02
UPPER BANDTree care business, 3 ISA-certified arborists on staff, commercial contract book, fleet under 5 years · Signed at 205/02
MID-BANDTree care business, owner is sole ISA arborist, partial storm-year in trailing period, fleet at mid-life · Initial ask 205/02
LOWER BANDTree care contractor, EMR above 1.0, aged fleet at book value, storm revenue as primary revenue driver · Buyer submitted LOI at 205/02
Industry Intelligence · Tree Care · Q2 2026
Updated · 2026-05-02Refresh · QuarterlyAuthor · Avery Hastings, CPA

Tree care business acquisitions sit in a 1.8×–3.2× SDE band. Top-of-band placement requires certified arborist depth, documented recurring maintenance contracts, and a credentialed safety record.

Q2 2026 headline read
Quarterly · Updated 2026-05-02
PILLAR 01
Earnings Quality
58%
↑ vs Q1

of deals presented storm/emergency removal revenue as steady-state SDE. Normalize to 5-year average — storm revenue is 2–4× steady-state in an active year.

PILLAR 02
Pricing
1.8×–3.2×
→ Band held

Lowest-band home services vertical. ISA-certified arborist bench depth and commercial contract book are the top-of-band determinants.

PILLAR 03
Fundability
23%
↑ vs Q1

of deals had EMR above 1.0 — the SBA workers comp threshold that restricts lender appetite. High-claims history is a direct fundability constraint.

PILLAR 04
Transferability
#1
↑ vs Q1

Top risk: equipment appraised at 38% of book value on average when independently inspected. Crane and bucket truck fleet requires physical inspection before LOI.

This quarter in
Tree Care
Q2 2026 · Apr–Jun

Equipment book value vs. appraised value is the most systematically mispriced element in tree care deals. Cranes, bucket trucks, and chippers used in storm response and high-canopy removal accumulate wear that outpaces GAAP depreciation schedules. A crane on the books at $180K may appraise at $65K. A buyer who does not obtain an independent equipment appraisal before LOI is making a capital allocation assumption that the lender's appraiser will correct at commitment stage — at maximum disruption to the deal timeline.

Storm normalization requires 5 years of revenue data, not 3. A 3-year average that includes two active storm years is still a distorted baseline in a market with cyclical storm patterns. Request year-by-year revenue broken into: (1) scheduled pruning and maintenance, (2) plant health care, (3) commercial contracts, (4) emergency/storm removal. The ratio of steady-state categories to emergency categories is the core underwriting question. Any seller who cannot produce this breakdown has an information gap that should affect how you structure the deal.

Read the full Q2 2026 Atlas →
The research stack

The tree care research stack.

Atlas for the numbers. Playbook for the framework. Scored Listings for the evidence.

Latest scored listings

Three recent tree care deals.

All scored listings →

Tree care business, 3 ISA-certified arborists on staff, commercial contract book, fleet under 5 years

OutcomeSigned at 2.9× SDE. Lender DSCR 1.26× on normalized earnings. Closed without repricing.

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Tree care business, owner is sole ISA arborist, partial storm-year in trailing period, fleet at mid-life

OutcomeInitial ask 2.7× storm-year SDE. After storm normalization, ISA continuity discount, fleet capex reserve, and insurance cost step-up normalization, adjusted SDE declined 28%. Repriced to 2.1× adjusted SDE with ISA hire contingency in seller note structure.

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Tree care contractor, EMR above 1.0, aged fleet at book value, storm revenue as primary revenue driver

OutcomeBuyer submitted LOI at 2.1× stated SDE. After insurance cost step-up, storm normalization, and fleet capex reserve, adjusted SDE declined 64%. SBA lender declined: DSCR 0.74×, equipment collateral insufficient, EMR above acceptable threshold. Deal terminated.

View teardown →
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Every Atlas keeps a permanent dated URL. Cited reports never break. Compare bands across quarters; track structural shifts over time.

  1. Q2 20262026 Multiples Band, Structural Conditions, and the Underwriting LensRead →
  2. Q1 2026Forthcoming retroactive AtlasIn preparation
  3. Q4 2025Forthcoming retroactive AtlasIn preparation
  4. Q3 2025Forthcoming retroactive AtlasIn preparation
  5. Q3 2026Next scheduled dropScheduled
Methodology

Acquidex v1.0, §3.4 (Earnings Quality), §3.3 (Transferability), §5.1 (Add-Back Stripping per SBA SOP 50 10 8). Methodology paper forthcoming Q3 2026.

Sample

Window: 2025-05 → 2026-04 (trailing 12 months). BizBuySell closed-deal data, IBBA Market Pulse Q3–4 2025 and Q1 2026, Pratt's Stats SMB transaction database, Acquidex direct deal observations

Refresh

Quarterly. Last update: 2026-05-02. Next update target: 2026-08-15. Atlas archive at /intel/tree-care/atlas.

Author

Avery Hastings, CPA. SMB acquisitions, US and Japan. Methodology pressure-test reviewers TBA in v1.0 publication.

Acquidex · Industry Intelligence · 2026
AQX-IR-TRC-2026Q2 · v1.0
Tree Care Acquisition Intelligence: Multiples Band, Atlas, Playbook, Scored Deals | Acquidex