Tree care business acquisitions sit in a 1.8×–3.2× SDE band. Top-of-band placement requires certified arborist depth, documented recurring maintenance contracts, and a credentialed safety record.
of deals presented storm/emergency removal revenue as steady-state SDE. Normalize to 5-year average — storm revenue is 2–4× steady-state in an active year.
Lowest-band home services vertical. ISA-certified arborist bench depth and commercial contract book are the top-of-band determinants.
of deals had EMR above 1.0 — the SBA workers comp threshold that restricts lender appetite. High-claims history is a direct fundability constraint.
Top risk: equipment appraised at 38% of book value on average when independently inspected. Crane and bucket truck fleet requires physical inspection before LOI.
Equipment book value vs. appraised value is the most systematically mispriced element in tree care deals. Cranes, bucket trucks, and chippers used in storm response and high-canopy removal accumulate wear that outpaces GAAP depreciation schedules. A crane on the books at $180K may appraise at $65K. A buyer who does not obtain an independent equipment appraisal before LOI is making a capital allocation assumption that the lender's appraiser will correct at commitment stage — at maximum disruption to the deal timeline.
Storm normalization requires 5 years of revenue data, not 3. A 3-year average that includes two active storm years is still a distorted baseline in a market with cyclical storm patterns. Request year-by-year revenue broken into: (1) scheduled pruning and maintenance, (2) plant health care, (3) commercial contracts, (4) emergency/storm removal. The ratio of steady-state categories to emergency categories is the core underwriting question. Any seller who cannot produce this breakdown has an information gap that should affect how you structure the deal.
Read the full Q2 2026 Atlas →The tree care research stack.
Atlas for the numbers. Playbook for the framework. Scored Listings for the evidence.
Q2 2026 Industry Atlas
Trailing-12-month band, structural conditions, sources, and methodology. Quarterly. Dated. Citable. Built to be forwarded by lenders.
Underwriting Playbook
The four-pillar lens applied to tree care business acquisitions. Structural failure modes. Pre-LOI verification priorities. Master spoke for the vertical.
Scored Listings
Anonymized observations from real tree care deals evaluated against the framework. Updated as deals warrant. Each listing its own citable URL.
Three recent tree care deals.
Tree care business, 3 ISA-certified arborists on staff, commercial contract book, fleet under 5 years
OutcomeSigned at 2.9× SDE. Lender DSCR 1.26× on normalized earnings. Closed without repricing.
Tree care business, owner is sole ISA arborist, partial storm-year in trailing period, fleet at mid-life
OutcomeInitial ask 2.7× storm-year SDE. After storm normalization, ISA continuity discount, fleet capex reserve, and insurance cost step-up normalization, adjusted SDE declined 28%. Repriced to 2.1× adjusted SDE with ISA hire contingency in seller note structure.
Tree care contractor, EMR above 1.0, aged fleet at book value, storm revenue as primary revenue driver
OutcomeBuyer submitted LOI at 2.1× stated SDE. After insurance cost step-up, storm normalization, and fleet capex reserve, adjusted SDE declined 64%. SBA lender declined: DSCR 0.74×, equipment collateral insufficient, EMR above acceptable threshold. Deal terminated.
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- Q2 20262026 Multiples Band, Structural Conditions, and the Underwriting LensMay 2, 2026Read →
- Q1 2026Forthcoming retroactive AtlasAug 2026In preparation
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